Easy and Accurate Handicapping

Beating the Odds

Check out our informative blog section for the best advice in the industry. Be sure to come back frequently for explained races, tips, or how to use our sheets.

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How to Read a Pro Sheet

Top of Pro Sheet

1 Race Date and Post Time – Post times are listed for both Eastern and Pacific time zones.

2 Race Number, Race Track, Race Surface and Race Distance: This example is the fifth race running 6.5 furlongs on a Santa Anita’s Turf course.

3 Pace Scenario: Indicates the expected pace scenario of the race.  This is made by combining the amount of early speed and the strength of early speed. HBD currently uses 5 types of early speed; Average Speed, Lone Speed, Dual Speed, Triple Speed and Quad+ Speed. HBD currently uses three indicators of the strength of the early speed, Slow Early, Average Early, and Strong Early. The combination of these two indicators gives us the best indicator of the expected pace model of the race along with the expected winner’s position. Projected Winner Pace: Indicates the expected pace of the eventual race winner.

4 HBD Proven Angles: HBD False Favorite and HBD SPDBET angles are proven angles that provide positive ROI return given certain scenarios. When these buttons are visible it indicates the HBD angle is in play during the given race.

5 HBD tiered picks: This is a list of the top four horses as calculated by HBD, each horse number is separated by either a ‘>’ or a ‘-‘. The greater than symbol (>) indicates a drop in tier for this race. A tier can exist after any number of horses, sometimes there is more than one tier drop in our top four picks. This is just an indication of a large gap between the HBD scores of horses. Graphical Representation of our top 4 picks: This section is used to give a visual representation of the top four picks. This can be used to see large gap in HBD ratings between the top four picks. A large gap can help bettors determine key horses in exotic bets.

Sorted Horse by Horse Data

middle of Pro sheet

6 Horse number in order of HBD Rating: This section is especially helpful if the top four picks include a scratched horse or horses. In this example, if the #5 and the #11 horse scratched. Understanding our pick sheet the top four picks would now look like 2-6-12-1. Horse Name: This section lists the horses names in the race. There are times that the horse’s name will be truncated due to length.

7 Running Style: The running style of the horse is broken down into three main categories and two informational indications.

  • E: Early Pace: This horse likes to take the lead and try to win wire to wire.
  •  P: Presser: A horse that will stay near the front, and try to make a move after the half way mark of the race.
  • S: Stalker: A horse that likes to sit well off the pace and make a late run down the stretch.
  • N/A: This indicates that a horse has not run a qualified pace type.
  • FTS: This indicates a First Time Starter, a horse that we have no history on.

Morning Line Odds: Lists the morning line odds of the horses as entered in the daily program. These odds will change as money is placed on the race. But can be used as a good indicator of favorites and possible value in a race.

8 HBD Fair Line Odds – Using HBD’s calculations the HBD Fair Line Odds indicate value based post time odds.

9 Quirin Speed: This is the horses Quirin rating, Quirin measures the horses ‘need’ to gain the lead based on a 0-8 scale. A horse that rates an 8 will do everything in its power to gain the lead from the very start. A horse with a low rating will break from the gate and naturally find a spot without much effort. This number is used as one of variables to determine possible pace scenarios in sprint races. A blank box indicates a rating of zero.

10 E1 Value: This number is used to indicate a horse’s speed in relation to the rest of the field during the first quarter of the race. (Note: E1 history is not available with historical short 4.5f-5.0f races.)

HBD E2 Rate: This column is used to indicate the horses who have an advantage or disadvantage during the first half of the race. A positive number reflects the expected advantage from the ‘middle of the pack’, while a negative number indicates an expected disadvantage from the middle of the pack during the first half of the race. The larger difference between first and last place in this column indicates the potential distance the racing field could span over the first part of the race. This is used to draw a model race shape.

HBD L8 Rate: This column is used to indicate the horses who have an advantage or disadvantage during the second half of the race. A positive number reflects the expected advantage from the ‘middle of the pack’, while a negative number indicates an expected disadvantage from the middle of the pack during the last part of the race. The larger difference between first and last place in this column indicates the potential distance the racing field could span over the first part of the race. This is used to draw a model race shape.

11 HBD Rating:  This is the overall score after all calculations have been completed. This is the number that we use to rate and separate the horses into our picks. Think of this as the answer key to the race. Again the same theory applies from our HBD speed rating; The larger positive number indicates a horses relative advantage in the given race. The larger the negative number indicates a horses relative disadvantage in the given race.

12 Data %: Indicator of total percentage of historical data required for best results in HBD’s handicapping formula. Slop Ratio: An ratio of races ran in sloppy conditions to those races ran with top two finishes. For example a Slop Ratio of 1/2 indicates the given horse has ran twice under sloppy conditions and has finished in top two in one of those two races.

13 HBD Angles: This section covers three different angles that HBD likes to highlight.

  • ++: This is an indication that the horse and its connections received a positive HBD Strong Start AND a positive HBD Strong Finish value.
  •  Dist: Represents a meaningful change in distance from the horses last race. SO indicates that the race is a “stretch out” race or the horse will be running a longer race this race compared to the last race. R2S indicates that the horse is moving “Route to Sprint” or moving to a shorter distance from its last race.
  • Layoff: Indicates 1st, 2nd or 3rd start off layoff. The number next to the 1st indicates the number of days since last race.

14 Last Time Out: Tracks, Conditions, Distance ran and finishing position of horses last race. A green highlight indicates a winner last time out.

Other Information

bottom of Pro sheet

15 Horse Post Position: This section of the form is listed in order of post position, we use post position as opposed to program number. When HBD receives our data, it is received using post numbers. Unfortunately, rare occasions occur when the post numbers don’t always match the program numbers causing errors in number sequence. Please make sure to verify all bets double checking horse names. Horse Name and Trend Data: The horse name will appear just as above. We have also added trend data into this section indicated by and up arrow and a down arrow. An up arrow indicates a horse that is on the rise and has improved in each of his last two starts. A down arrow indicates a horse that is falling and has ran worse in their last two races.

16 HBD Early Pace: The key figure in HBD’s ability to predict the pace model of the race. This is an HBD calculation that incorporate a number of different aspects of the horse/trainer and jockey and the expected ability of the horse during the early part of the race. A positive number indicates a horse that should be in or near the front during the first part of the race.

17 HBD Late Pace: This is an HBD calculation that incorporates a number of different aspects of the horse/trainer and jockey and the expected ability of the horse during the final stages of the race.  A positive number indicates a horse that should be gaining ground on the field during the last parts of the race.

18 Trainer / Jockey: Connection names indicated with Trainer and Jockey.

Notes
  • Each column highlights the largest value for visual representation of the top of each category.

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