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Beating the Odds

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Category Archives for Betting Angles

The Kentucky Oaks and the Derby Should Be Equally Important to Handicappers

How are the Lewis and Clark Expedition connected to the Kentucky Derby and the Kentucky Oaks you might ask? Read on. Because the Kentucky Oaks at 9f is run for fillies the day before the Derby, we are left with the sense that it is somehow not as important a race … that it doesn’t deserve as much fanfare or attention as the run by the colts the next day. That it’s just another betting race. I would suggest, as thoroughbred handicappers, we might be wise to take more than a passing interest in not only the results of this…

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What are HBD Value Odds?

HBD’s newest version of our Pro Sheets offer the ability to find and determine potential value of any horse compared to their real time odds. The easiest way to think about Fair odds line is using an example that we can all relate to; the flipping of a coin. We know that a fair coin flip has odds of 50/50 to come up either heads or tails. Now let’s say that you wanted to bet on heads you know that over a long period of time you are going to win 50% of the time. If someone were to offer…

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Santa Anita – Saturday, December 27

This started out as an email to one of our loyal players, shoutout to @AnthonyDemo! Thanks for ‘making’ me do this. First let me say that I would be happy to tell you how I use the sheets, but let me say that everyone uses them differently. We have customers who blindly play the top four in exactas and/or trifectas, we have customers who use them to play pick3s and pick4s. And we a great deal of customers who use them as aids while doing what they normally did with the DRF or Brisnet sheets. But here is how I…

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August Data Points

With over 5,000 races in our database just in the month of August combined with 20+ ways to sort and compare the data there are millions of ways we could look at this data each and every day. Our results are what drive our handicapping and we are constantly comparing results to real life betting situations in order to produce the most accurate and usable sheets in the industry. AUGUST RESULTS Total Races = 5,190 # of Tracks = 56 % Winners Published = 72.4% Top Horse Win % = 25.5% Top Horse in Money = 58.9% % Exacta Published…

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How I found a 40-1 winner at Churchill Downs

Let me be perfectly clear from the beginning of writing this. I am not pretending this happens every day nor am I claiming that it will happen every time a similar scenario presents itself. But what I am going to do is discuss what I saw in the 5th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 17th, the same day as the Preakness Stakes this last weekend. The beauty of the Triple Crown is the existence of huge pools throughout the country. The day before any of the Triple Crown race is a great day to try to find some…

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Preakness Preview and HBD Betting Strategy

Dynamic Sky is Coming in off a win in the Illinois Derby beating Midnight Sky by a nose. The field of the Illinois Derby didn’t appear to be that strong, but it was still a strong win in a G3 stakes race. It wouldn’t take a huge step up to hit the board here and a similar run as his last two outings could put him in the bottom of the exotic tickets. General A Rod was on a great deal of people’s Kentucky Derby watch lists and for good reason. But none of the Florida horses decided to show…

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What a Sunday at Oaklawn for HBD

As handicappers we dream of days like this at the track. Yesterday at Oaklawn Park was one of those days. Our picks were red hot and our customer’s wallets showed the rewards of using our system. Let’s look at yesterday’s Oaklawn’s card and our picks a little closer. But you don’t have to just take our word for it.  Here is copies of both our Pro Sheets and our HBD Basic sheets for Sunday the Jan. 12th at Oaklawn Park. Race 1 (4>5-3-1) While our top pick didn’t come home a winner in this first race, the horse with the…

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Welcome to 2014

HBD is opening its 2014 doors with two new products. We are now offering a Pro Sheet and a Basic Sheet, each designed to meet the needs of different types of bettors. But whats the difference? What makes a Pro a Pro? Our new Pro sheets are enhanced with a new and amazingly accurate pace model prediction algorithm that adjusts our picks based on one of 16 possible pace scenarios in any given race. Our new sheets make it easier than ever to find the pace setters in the race and who may be coming on strong at the end….

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The Breeders’ are Coming!!!

As I write this we are 18 days away from the Breeders Cup, that will be held November 1st and 2nd at Santa Anita race course in California. Over the next two weeks, Horse Betting Direct, will look to breakdown each of the 14 Breeders’ Cup races. While the fields won’t be finalized for a couple of weeks, we will look at each race and the likely starters, pace scenerio and breakdown leading up to the biggest two days in racing. The Races – Xpressbet Sprint Turf Sprint Turf Mile Marathon Juvenile Turf Juvenile Fillies Turf Juvenile Fillies Juvenile Filly…

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Kentucky Downs

Kentucky Downs 09/25/13 I love Kentucky Downs! If you haven’t played there, you need to start looking there, it unlike any other course in the country for a number of reasons. Physically it is only turf, there is no dirt track at Kentucky Downs and all races are ran on a uniquely shaped European-style course. In fact Kentucky Downs is the only race track in America other than the Santa Anita Downhill course to feature a right hand turn. The other great thing to like about Kentucky Downs is the size of the fields. For instance today the smallest field…

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